Staff Publications: 2016

The following list represents current publications. Earlier publications may be viewed by selecting previous periods from the list to the right. Also available is a PDF with the major WHRC publications of the past 5 years.

WHRC publications are listed with links to abstracts and/or full texts where available.

(* indicates publication is in Portuguese, ** indicates French)


Abbott, B.W. … S.M. Natali … S.J. Goetz … B.M. Rogers, et al. 2016. Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire: an expert assessment. Environmental Research Letters. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014

Arantes, A.E., L.G. Ferreira, and M.T. Coe. 2016. The seasonal carbon and water balances of the Cerrado environment of Brazil: Past, present, and future influences of land cover and land use. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing 117:66-78.

Bracho, R., S.M. Natali, E. Pegoraro, K.G. Crummer, C. Schädel, L. Wu, K. Xue, J.M. Tiedje, K. Konstantinidis, L. Luo, L. Zhou, and E.A.G. Schuur. 2016. Temperature sensitivity of organic matter decomposition of permafrost-region soils during laboratory incubationsSoil Biology and Biochemistry 97:1-14.

Brando, P.M.,  C. Oliveria-Santos, W. Rocha, R. Cury, and M.T. Coe. 2016. Effects of experimental fuel additions on fire intensity and severity: unexpected carbon resilience of a neotropical forest. Global Change Biology. doi:10.1111/gcb.13172

*Brown, I.F., and C.G. Santos. 2016. Rainfall: Monitoring, Alerts and Alarms. Op-Ed. A Gazeta C1-2. 23 February. Rio Branco, Acre, Brazil.

*Brown, I.F., E. dos Santos, and S. Silva. 2016. Doubts, Risk Management and the 2016 Drought. Op-Ed. A Gazeta C1-2. 8 March. Rio Branco, Acre, Brazil.

*Brown, I.F., E. dos Santos, and S. Silva. 2016. The Great Acceleration and the Future of 2080. Op-Ed. A Gazeta C1-2. 5 April. Rio Branco, Acre, Brazil.

Butterfield, B.J., A.L. Camhi, R.L. Rubin, and C.R. Schwalm. 2016. Tradeoffs and compatibilities among ecosystem services: Biological, physical and economic drivers of multifunctionality. Advances in Ecological Research. doi:10.1016/bs.aecr.2015.09.002

Castanho, A.D.A, D. Galbraith, K. Zhang, M.T. Coe, M.H Costa, and P. Moorcroft. 2016. Changing Amazon biomass and the role of atmospheric CO2 concentration, climate, and land useGlobal Biogeochemical Cycles. doi:10.1002/2015GB005135

Curasi, S.R., M.M. Loranty, and S.M. Natali. 2016. Water track distribution and effects on carbon dioxide flux in an eastern Siberian upland tundra landscapeEnvironmental Research Letters 11:054002. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/045002

Duffy, P. 2016. International climate change progress continues. Cape Cod Times. 21 November.

Ellis, P., B. Griscom, W. Walker, F. Gonçalves, and T. Cormier. 2016. Mapping selective logging impacts in Borneo with GPS and airborne lidar. Forest Ecology and Management 365:184-196.

*Ferreira, E., and I.F. Brown. 2016. Will We Live a New Dark Age on the Planet? Part 1. Op-Ed. A Gazeta C1-2. 10 May. Rio Branco, Acre, Brazil.

Fisher, J.B., M. Sikka, D.N. Huntzinger, C.R. Schwalm, and J. Liu. 2016. Technical note: 3-hourly temporal downscaling of monthly global terrestrial biosphere model net ecosystem exchange. Biogeosciences 13:4271-4277. doi:10.5194/bg-13-4271-2016

Frey, K.E., W.V. Sobczak, P.J. Mann, and R.M. Holmes. 2016. Optical properties and bioavailability of dissolved organic matter along a flow-path continuum from soil pore waters to the Kolyma River mainstem, East Siberia. Biogeosciences 13:1-12. doi:10.5194/bg-13-1-2016

Goetz, S., N. Laporte, and P. Jantz. 2016. Saving Species While Mitigating Climate Change: Investigating ideal locations for corridors connecting protected lands based on areas of highest carbon densities. A SERVIR Applied Sciences Team project analysis.

Griscom, B.W., P.W. Ellis, A. Baccini, D. Marthinus, J.S. Evans, and Ruslandi. 2016. Synthesizing Global and Local Datasets to Estimate Jurisdictional Forest Carbon Fluxes in Berau, IndonesiaPLoS ONE 11(1):e0146357. doi:10.1371/ journal.pone.0146357

Gross, J.E., M. Tercek, K. Guay, M. Talbert, T. Chang, A. Rodman, D. Thoma, P. Jantz, and J.T. Morisette. 2016. Chapter 4. Historical and Projected Climates to Support Climate Adaptation across the Northern Rocky Mountains. In Climate Change in Wildlands: Pioneering Approaches to Science and Management, ed. A.J. Hansen, W. Monahan, D.M. Theobald, and S.T. Olliff. Washington, DC: Island Press.

Grosse, G., S. Goetz, A.D. McGuire, V.E. Romanovsky, and E.A. Schuur. 2016. Changing permafrost in a warming world and feedbacks to the Earth system. Environmental Research Letters 11:040201. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/040201

Guay, K. P. Jantz, J.E. Gross, B.M. Rogers, and S.J. Goetz. 2016. Chapter 5. Foundational Analyses of Historical and Projected Climates as a Basis for Climate Change Exposure and Adaptation Potential across the Appalachian Landscape Conservation Cooperative. In Climate Change in Wildlands: Pioneering Approaches to Science and Management, ed. A.J. Hansen, W. Monahan, D.M. Theobald, and S.T. Olliff. Washington, DC: Island Press.

Holden, S.R., B.M. Rogers, K.K. Treseder, and J.T. Randerson. 2016. Fire severity influences the response of soil microbes to a boreal forest fireEnvironmental Research Letters 11(3):035004. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/035004.

Hoover, D.L., and B.M. Rogers. 2016. Not all droughts are created equal: the impacts of interannual drought pattern and magnitude on grassland carbon cyclingGlobal Change Biology. doi: 0.1111/gcb.13161

Houghton, R.A. 2016. Global carbon budgets and the role of remote sensing. In Remote Sensing Handbook, Volume II, Land Resources Monitoring, Modeling, and Mapping with Remote Sensing, ed. P.S. Thenkabail, 639-657. CRC Press, Boca Raton, FL.

Ito, A., M. Inatomi, D.N. Huntzinger, C.R. Schwalm, A.M. Michalak, et al. 2016. Decadal trends in the seasonal-cycle amplitude of terrestrial CO2 exchange resulting from the ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models. Tellus B 68:28968. doi:10.3402/tellusb.v68.28968

Jantz, P., W.B. Monahan, A.J. Hansen, B.M. Rogers, S. Zolkos, T. Cormier, and S. Goetz. 2016. Chapter 8. Modeling Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Vegetation for National Parks in the Eastern United States. In Climate Change in Wildlands: Pioneering Approaches to Science and Management, ed. A.J. Hansen, W. Monahan, D.M. Theobald, and S.T. Olliff. Washington, DC: Island Press.

Kearns, P.J., J.H. Angell, E.M. Howard, L.A. Deegan, R.H.R. Stanley, and J.L. Bowen. 2016. Nutrient enrichment induces dormancy and decreases diversity of active bacteria in salt marsh sediments. Nature Communications 7:12881. doi: 10.1038/ncomms12881

Lathuillière, M.J., M.T. Coe, and M.S. Johnson. 2016. What could irrigated agriculture mean for Amazonia? A review of green and blue water resources and their trade-offs for future agricultural production in the Amazon BasinHydrology and Earth System Sciences. doi: 10.5194/hess-2016-71.

Le Quéré, C., R.M. Andrew, J.G. Canadell, S. Sitch, J.I. Korsbakken, G.P. Peters, A.C. Manning, T.A. Boden, P.P. Tans, R.A. Houghton, et al. 2016. Global Carbon Budget 2016. Earth System Science Data 8:605-649. doi:10.5194/essd-8-605-2016

Mann, P.J., R.G.M. Spencer, P.J. Hernes, J. Six, G.R. Aiken, S.E. Tank, J.W. McClelland, K.D. Butler, R.Y. Dyda, and R.M. Holmes. 2016. Pan-Arctic trends in terrestrial dissolved organic matter from optical measurements. Frontiers in Earth Science 4:25. doi:10.3339/feart.2016.00025

McClelland, J.W., R.M. Holmes, B.J. Peterson, P.A. Raymond, R.G. Striegl, A.V. Zhulidov, S.A. Zimov, N. Zimov, S.E. Tank, R.G.M. Spencer, R. Staples, T.Y. Gurtovaya, and C.G. Griffin. 2016. Particulate organic carbon and nitrogen export from major Arctic rivers. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 30. doi:10.1002/2015GB005351.

Mekonnen, Z.A., R.F. Grant, and C.R. Schwalm. 2016. Contrasting changes in gross primary productivity of different regions of North America as affected by warming in recent decades. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 218-219:50-64. doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.11.016

Morton, D.C., P. Noojipady, M.M. Macedo, H. Gibbs, D.C. Victoria, and E.L. Bolfe. 2016. Reevaluating suitability estimates based on dynamics of cropland expansion in the Brazilian Amazon. Global Environmental Change 37:92-101.

Pelletier, J., N. Gélinas, and M. Skutsch. 2016. The Place of Community Forest Management in the REDD+ Landscape. Forests 7:170. doi:10.3390/f7080170

Riskin, S.H., C. Neill, K. Jankowski, A.V. Krusche, R. McHorney, H. Elsenbeer, M.N. Macedo, D.C. Nunes, and S. Porder. 2016. Solute and sediment export from Amazon forest and soybean headwater streams. Ecological Applications. doi:10.1002/eap.1428

Rogers, B.M., P. Jantz, S.J. Goetz, and D.M. Theobald. 2016. Chapter 11. Assessing the Vulnerability of Tree Species to Climate Change in the Appalachian Landscape Conservation Cooperative. In Climate Change in Wildlands: Pioneering Approaches to Science and Management, ed. A.J. Hansen, W. Monahan, D.M. Theobald, and S.T. Olliff. Washington, DC: Island Press.

Salmon, V.G., P. Soucy, M. Mauritz, G. Celis, S.M. Natali, M.C. Mack, and E.A.G. Schuur. 2016. Nitrogen availability increases in a tundra ecosystem during five years of experimental permafrost thawGlobal Change Biology 22:5.doi: 10.1111/gcb.13204

Sanderman, J., W.T. Baisden, and S. Fallon. 2016. Redefining the inert soil carbon pool. Soil Biology and Biochemistry 92:149-152. doi:10.1016/j.soilbio.2015.10.005

Schade, J.D., E.C. Seybold, T. Drake, W.V. Sobczak, K.E. Frey, R.M. Holmes, and N. Zimov. 2016. Variation in summer nitrogen and phosphorus uptake among Siberian headwater streams. Polar Research 35:24571.

Schädel, C., M.K.F. Bader, E.A.G. Schuur, C. Biasi, R. Bracho, P. Čapek, S. De Baets, K. Diáková, J. Ernakovich, C. Estop-Aragones, D. Graham, I.P. Hartley, C.M. Iversen, E. Kane, C. Knoblauch, M. Lupascu, S.M. Natali, R.J. Norby, J.A. O’Donnell, T.R. Chowdhury, H. Šantrůčková, G. Shaver, V.L. Sloan, C. Treat, M.R. Turetsky, M.P. Waldrop, and K.P. Wickland. 2016. Potential carbon emissions dominated bycarbon dioxide from thawed permafrost soils. Nature Climate Change. doi:10.1038/nclimate3054

Schuur, E.A.G., M.S. Carbone, C.E. Hicks Pries, F.M. Hopkins, and S.M. Natali. 2016. Radiocarbon in Terrestrial Systems. In Radiocarbon and Climate Change, ed. E.A.G. Schuur, E.R.M. Druffel, and S.E. Trumbore, 167-220. Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-25643-6_6

Smith, A.M.S., C.A. Kolden, T.B. Paveglio, M.A. Cochrane, D.M.J.S. Bowman, M.A. Moritz, A.D. Kliskey, L. Alessa, A.T. Hudak, C.M. Hoffman, J.A. Lutz, L.P. Queen, S.J. Goetz, P.E. Higuera, L. Boschetti, M. Flannigan, K.M. Yedinak, A.C. Watts, E.K. Strans, J.W. Van Wagtendonk, J.W. Anderson, B.J. Stocks, and J.T. Abatzoglou. 2016. The Science of Firescapes: Achieving Fire-Resilient Communities. BioScience 66(2):130-146.

Soares-Filho, B., R. Rajão, F. Merry, H. Rodrigues, J. Davis, L. Lima, M. Macedo, M. Coe, A. Carneiro, and L. Santiago. 2016. Brazil’s Market for Trading Forest Certificates. PLoS ONE 11(4):e0152311. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0152311

Spera, S.A., G.L. Galford, M.T. Coe, M.N. Macedo, and J.F. Mustard. 2016. Land-Use Change Affects Water Recycling in Brazil’s Last Agricultural Frontier. Global Change Biology. doi:10.1111/gcb.13298

Theobald, D.M., W.B. Monahan, D. Harrison-Atlas, A.J. Hansen, P. Jantz, J.E. Gross, and S.T. Olliff. 2016. Chapter 6. Assessing Vulnerability to Land Use and Climate Change at Landscape Scales: Landforms and Physiographic Diversity as Coarse-Filter Targets Representing Species and Processes. In Climate Change in Wildlands: Pioneering Approaches to Science and Management, ed. A.J. Hansen, W. Monahan, D.M. Theobald, and S.T. Olliff. Washington, DC: Island Press.

Tian, H., C. Lu, P. Ciais, A.M. Michalak, J.G. Canadell, E. Saikawa, D.N. Huntzinger, K. Gurney, S. Sitch, B. Zhang, J. Yang, P. Bousquet, L. Bruhwiler, G. Chen, E. Dlugokencky, P. Friedlingstein, J. Melillo, S. Pan, B. Poulter, R. Prinn, M. Saunois, C.R Schwalm, S.C. Wofsy. 2016. The terrestrial biosphere as a net source of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere. Nature. doi:10.1038/nature16946

Tramontana, G., M. Jung, C.R. Schwalm, et al. 2016. Predicting carbon dioxide and energy fluxes across global FLUXNET sites with regression algorithmsBiogeosciences 13:4291-4313. doi:10.5194/bg-13-4291-2016

Wagner, F.H., B. Hérault, D. Bonal, C. Stahl, L.O. Anderson, T.R. Baker, G.S. Becker… I.F. Brown, et al. 2016. Climate seasonality limits leaf carbon assimilation and wood productivity in tropical forests. Biogeosciences 13(8):2537-2562. doi:10.5194/bg-13-2537-2016.

Webb, E.E, E.A.G Schuur, S.M. Natali, K. Oken, R. Bracho, J. Krapek, D. Risk, and N. Nickerson. 2016. Increased wintertime CO2 loss as a result of sustained tundra warmingJournal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences. doi:10.1002/2014JG002795

Wu, Jin, L.P. Albert, A.P. Lopes, N. Restrepo-Coupe, M. Hayek, K.T. Wiedemann, K. Guan, S.C. Stark, B. Christoffersen, N. Prohaska, J.V. Tavares, S. Marostica, H. Kobayashi, M.L. Ferreira, K. Silva Campos, R. da Silva, P.M. Brando, D.G. Dye, T.E. Huxman, A.R. Huete, B.W. Nelson, S.R. Saleska. Leaf development and demography explain photosynthetic seasonality in Amazon evergreen forests. Science 351(6276):972-976.

Xue, K., M.M. Yuan, Z.J. Shi, Y. Qin, Y. Deng, L. Cheng, L. Wu, Z. He, J.D. Van Nostrand, R. Bracho, S. Natali, E.A.G. Schuur, C. Luo, K.T. Konstantinidis, Q. Wang, J.R. Cole, J.M. Tiedje, Y. Luo, and J. Zhou. 2016. Tundra soil carbon is vulnerable to rapid microbial decomposition under climate warming. Nature Climate Change. doi:10.1038/NCLIMATE2940